What's first? A Black President or a Woman President?

I was talking about this question this weekend with some friends, and today i realized how close we might be to the answer, looking at potential candidates in the 2008 cycle.

Hilary is the 900- pound gorilla of the Democratic party. I'm not that disappointed by this. Many think that she would be a doomed candidate, but I am not so sure. Bottom line, it is difficult to handicap a candidate as unprecedented as Hilary Clinton.

Barak Obama is is wildcard. His charisma is obvious, but he has not been tested as Hilary has been, which gives me pause. However, he is a very interesting candidate, and as difficult to handicap as Hilary is. One advantage is that he is less distanced from the retail campaigning that is critical in early primary/caucus states (having only recently moved from the state senate to federal office), and that could be an advantage in the early going.